DFS Outlook – Pitchers

By July 10, 2014MLB

Analysis by Josh Collacchi

With the daily fantasy world slowly taking over the industry of fantasy sports, more and more research is available to maximize your lineups. ProjectRoto already has a cheat sheet for you, so be sure to use that to your advantage in your research for the perfect lineup. In addition, we will provide you with a DFS outlook this week, to keep ahead of the game when it comes to your daily fantasy research.

This will provide you with some good matchups during the week, and some low-priced players to take a chance on.

Without further ado, this week’s DFS Outlook – Pitchers.

(Keep in mind, some of these schedules change due to off-days. The picks are still legitimate, but it may be on a different day)


 Yu Darvish vs. the Astros

It seems like a no-brainer, and many like to go against the grain in daily fantasy. But, do not outsmart yourself. Darvish is dominant in fantasy baseball, simply because even if he does not shut a team out, he can easily reach double-digit strikeouts. So far this season, Darvish has 134 strikeouts, including eight or more in eight of his last 10 starts. The Astros struggle against righties anyway (.224 as a team), but Darvish is not an ordinary right-hander. Pay for pitching and take Darvish.


Matt Garza vs. the Phillies 

Garza is coming off his best outing of the season where he threw a complete game two-hit shutout against the Reds. The Phillies have one of the worst offenses in baseball right now, with Marlon Byrd being the only consistent threat to opposing hitters. Garza should be able to limit the Phillies considering they only hit .234 against righties. In addition, Garza allows opponents to score just 3.78 earned runs per nine innings, so he is having a great season. This matchup cannot get any better for the right-hander, as he could very well be one of the top finishers at pitcher on Thursday.


John Lackey vs. the Astros 

The Astros struggles against righties have been well documented this season, and Lackey will look to exploit that once again. Lackey has struggled of late, allowing 16 earned runs in his last three starts, but the Astros struggle enough against righties that he should be able to rebound well for a good start at a low price on Friday.


Stephen Strasburg vs. the Phillies

It seems that we see this matchup every month, and it’s true. Strasburg has faced the Phillies twice already this season, and has dominated in both starts. In these starts, the Nationals ace has allowed just two earned runs in 13 innings of work while striking out 16 batters. Get him into your lineup once again, despite the likelihood of him being the most expensive pitcher on the market. The Phillies are reeling right now, hitting .214 in the last two weeks, so be sure to “play the market” as some will say.


Hyun-Jin Ryu vs. the Padres 

Every day when a daily fantasy baseball player looks at pitching, the first matchup he looks for is the Padres. Look no further when Ryu pitches, as he is in line to have the best matchup in daily fantasy on Sunday. Ryu is coming off a wretched outing against the Tigers where he could not get out of the third inning, and allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs. But, the Padres are the worst team in baseball when it comes to offense. San Diego is hitting .215, as a team, for the entire season. That means for any given at-bat, the Padres have a 21.5 percent chance of getting a hit. Take that ratio every time with Ryu on the mound. The Padres are even worse against southpaws, hitting just .203.

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Josh Collacchi
In addition to writing at ProjectRoto, find Josh's work on Pro Football Focus, XN Sports, eDraft.com, Sportsnaut.com and more! Follow him on Twitter @JoshCollacchi.

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